Predictive model

A model to predict the success rates for patients undergoing endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) was developed using results from an Australian study carried out between 1998 and 2006. The study was undertaken by the Australian Safety and Efficacy Register of New Interventional Procedures – Surgical (ASERNIP-S) on behalf of the Australian Government to determine the mid to long term safety of the procedure.  

The model was developed by statistician Mary Barnes of CSIRO (Chief Investigator of this study) under clinical guidance from Assoc. Professor Fitridge (Principal Investigator).

Download the EVAR model workbook (Microsoft Excel required). The model is a tool that can be used to predict the likely success of endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) for individual patients based on a number of preoperative measurements.

The current study “Prospective evaluation of a model to predict outcomes following Endovascular Aortic Aneurysm Repair (EVAR)” aims to assess how well the model predicts outcomes after EVAR for a new cohort of patients and also to determine whether additional pre-operative information will help to make it more accurate.